The Future of Air Force One: Beyond the 747

The role of Air Force One is not solely about the aircraft itself but encompasses a broader mission. Currently, the world is watching for the next iteration of this iconic plane, with the 747-8 playing a pivotal role. However, as the 747-8 nears the end of its production run, alternative options are being considered to ensure continued support for the Air Force One mission well into the future.

Current Status: The Boeing 747-8 (VC-25B)

The current Air Force One is the VC-25B, based on the Boeing 747-8. This aircraft was chosen as a replacement for the VC-25A, which is based on the 747-200 and is nearing 40 years in service. The VC-25B is being developed and is expected to enter service around 2024. This new aircraft is designed to serve the president and the government for the next several decades, potentially until 2060.

Challenges in Aircraft Choice

When considering future needs, the Air Force One will have to adapt to changing requirements. One of the primary challenges lies in the size and capability of the aircraft. While the 747-8 is a capable plane, the production lines for this model are scheduled to be shut down. This leaves an open question about what the next Air Force One aircraft will be.

Alternative Options: The Boeing 777-9

Given the enormous overhead and the time needed for certification, a reliable alternative is being explored. The 777-9, a twin-engine aircraft, has emerged as a potential contender. The fact that it has been in prolonged service and is known for its reliability makes it a promising candidate. Furthermore, the FAA's Joint Aviation Authorities (JAA) have already certified the 777-9, potentially reducing the waiting time for its adoption as Air Force One.

The 777-9: Experience and Reliability

For the Air Force One mission, reliability and service experience are paramount. The 777-9 has a significant advantage here, as it has been in service since 2019. This experience guarantees that there will be no unforeseen technical challenges and ensures a smooth transition for the government and military staff. Additionally, the 777-9 is known for its safety record, making it a safer and more reliable option for the Air Force One mission.

Other Potential Alternatives

While the 777-9 is a strong candidate, other options are also being considered. For example, future versions of the 777-9 or hybrid versions of the airplane could be developed to meet the needs of the Air Force One. The flexibility and adaptability of these newer models make them attractive options for the future.

The Near Future: The VC-25Bs

In the near term, the VC-25Bs will continue to serve as Air Force One. These aircraft, based on the 747-8, are currently being produced and will replace the existing VC-25A aircraft, based on the 747-200. Two aircraft were intended for the Russian airline Transaero but were never delivered due to the airline's bankruptcy. The USAF purchased these aircraft for conversion into VC-25Bs.

Production and Delivery

The production of the 747-8 is coming to an end, with the last scheduled delivery set for this fall. As of now, there are four 747-8Fs left to be delivered, with the last one possibly scheduled for delivery this year. However, the production lines are already shutting down at some of the major subcontractors. For example, Triumph, which made critical components of the fuselage, is auctioning off its tooling.

Conclusion and Future Outlook

While the question of what the next Air Force One will be remains open, it is currently academic. Given the time and comprehensive nature of the certification process, it is unlikely that serious consideration will be given to this issue for the next 20 years. However, as the current VC-25Bs come into service, the focus will shift to the 777-9 and other potential alternatives as viable options for the Air Force One mission.